Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Mar 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

bet365 Stadium

Stoke
2 - 0
Millwall

Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ballard (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

Last Six:

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Preston North End	46	-4	64
14	Stoke City	46	5	62
15	Swansea City	46	-10	61

Millwall

Last Six:

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Blackburn Rovers	46	9	69
9	Millwall	46	8	69
10	West Bromwich Albion	46	7	67

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Millwall

With O'Neill potentially being at the point of no return, he will surely instruct his side to attack their opponents on Saturday. Nevertheless, that will not necessarily trouble a well-drilled Millwall side, and we are backing the visitors to fight their way to a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Millwall
50.47%	26.54%	23%

Both teams to score 45.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.91%

58.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.24%

78.76%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86%

23.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.99%

57%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.08%

40.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.51%

77.48%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 50.46%

Millwall 23%

Draw 26.54%

Stoke City	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 13.85% 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.06% 3-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.63% Total : 50.46%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 8.46% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.21% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.24% Total : 23%