Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
3 - 4
Birmingham

Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Fisher (13')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Mejbri (90+8'), Bacuna (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Blackburn
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Birmingham City

Swansea need to find some consistency if they are to finish inside the top six this season, and a clash with a stuttering Birmingham side is the type of game they must take maximum points from. Birmingham have lost their last five league matches but showed signs of improvement in their FA Cup defeat on Tuesday night, and we believe they will do enough to earn a point in South Wales on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Birmingham City
54.3% ( 0)	23.72% ( -0)	21.98% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.32% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.64% (

0.01)

48.36% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.5% (

0.01)

70.5% (

-0.01)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29% (

17.71% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.64% (

0.01)

48.36% (

-0.01)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.57% (

36.42% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.79% (

73.21% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 54.29%

Birmingham City 21.98%

Draw 23.72%

Swansea City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9.67% 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.29%	1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 21.98%