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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
44.27% ( 0.11) | 25.87% ( 0.02) | 29.86% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 52.78% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.8% ( -0.12) | 51.2% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.96% ( -0.1) | 73.04% ( 0.1) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.96% ( 0) | 23.04% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.14% ( 0) | 56.86% ( -0) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.58% ( -0.15) | 31.42% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.2% ( -0.17) | 67.8% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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