Championship

Championship | Gameweek 3

Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 0
Burnley

Cleverley (45+2')
Asprilla (88')
Kamara (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brownhill (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

Last Six:

Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Watford
Monday, August 8 at 8pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Hull City	2	1	4
6	Watford	2	1	4
7	Sheffield United	2	1	3

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Luton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Birmingham City	2	1	4
4	Burnley	2	1	4
5	Hull City	2	1	4

These two teams have the same number of points, and are also tied when it comes to goals for and goals against, so this should be an even match featuring a pair of sides who were both relegated from the Premier League last season. Burnley look a lot more comfortable under their new system, and we expect the Clarets' energy and aggressiveness will help them past the home side in this one, as Watford seem to be taking a little longer to develop some solid chemistry. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Burnley
40.73%	28.67%	30.59% ( -0)

Both teams to score 44.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.64%

61.35% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.74%

81.26% (

-0)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43%

29.56% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.41%

65.59% (

-0)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.78% (

-0)

36.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.99% (

-0)

73%

Score Analysis

Watford 40.72%

Burnley 30.59%

Draw 28.66%

Watford	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 13.04% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.72%	1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.66%	0-1 @ 10.87% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.93% Total : 30.59%