Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Cavalry had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Cavalry win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Cavalry
51.34% ( 4.99)	23.13% ( -0.67)	25.53% ( -4.31)

Both teams to score 58.49% (

-1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.84% (

-0.01)

42.16% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.44% (

-0.01)

64.56% (

0.02)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

1.9)

16.51% (

-1.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.76% (

3.31)

46.24% (

-3.3)

Cavalry Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.06% (

-3.09)

29.94% (

3.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.95% (

-3.9)

66.05% (

3.9)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 51.34%

Cavalry 25.54%

Draw 23.12%

Orlando City	Draw	Cavalry
2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.94) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.56) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.82) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.39) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.48) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.34%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.76) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.57) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.43) Other @ 3.12% Total : 25.54%