CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Nov 19, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade Valette

Guadeloupe
5 - 0
Saint Kitts

Phaeton (19'), Arconte (74', 90'), Bevis (76'), Roussillon (80')
Phaeton (34'), Arconte (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sterling-James (22'), Burley (27'), Panayiotou (57')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Guadeloupe and Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guadeloupe

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Sint Maarten 0-2 Guadeloupe
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Saint Kitts 0-0 St Lucia
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 15.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.

Result
Guadeloupe	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
64.85% ( -0.93)	19.62% ( 0.6)	15.53% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 54.07% (

-1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.79% (

-2.13)

40.21% (

2.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.42% (

-2.23)

62.58% (

2.23)

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.33% (

-0.86)

11.67% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.27% (

-1.88)

36.74% (

1.88)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.22% (

-0.9)

38.78% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.48% (

-0.86)

75.52% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Guadeloupe 64.85%

Saint Kitts and Nevis 15.53%

Draw 19.62%

Guadeloupe	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.61) 3-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.9% Total : 64.85%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.43) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.62%	1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 15.53%