Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 22, 2024 at 11pm UK

Levi's Stadium

Ecuador
vs.
Venezuela

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa America Group Stage clash between Ecuador and Venezuela.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions

Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 10 at 12am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Ecuador vs. Bolivia
Thursday, June 13 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Venezuela

All competitions

Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Venezuela
Sunday, March 24 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ecuador win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Venezuela has a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.41%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (12.85%), while for a Venezuela win it is 0-1 (8.51%).

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Venezuela
54.55% ( -0)	27.69% ( 0)	17.77% ( 0)

Both teams to score 36.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.73% (

-0)

66.27% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.23% (

-0)

84.77% (

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09% (

-0)

24.91% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.46% (

-0)

59.54% (

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.41% (

51.59% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.26% (

85.74%

Score Analysis

Ecuador 54.54%

Venezuela 17.77%

Draw 27.68%

Ecuador	Draw	Venezuela
1-0 @ 17.86% 2-0 @ 12.41% 2-1 @ 8.22% 3-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 3.81% 4-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.92% Total : 54.54%	0-0 @ 12.85% 1-1 @ 11.82% 2-2 @ 2.72% Other @ 0.3% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.91% 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 17.77%