Palmeiras

1 - 2

Sao Paulo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.