Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg

May 23, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Sport
1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Amaral Barletta de Almeida (14')
Coutinho Silva Lopes (7'), Felipe (12'), Henrique (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vargas (60'), Battaglia (62'), Paulinho (63'), Saravia (67'), Mariano (71'), Santana (76'), Mendes (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Sport Recife and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sport Recife

All competitions

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Sport (5-3 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sport Recife 1-3 Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro suffered an unexpected defeat in the Copa Libertadores last week and will be looking to bounce back with another commanding performance here. Despite giving it their all in the first leg, Sport were no match for the Serie A powerhouse, and we feel they will struggle to keep up in this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Sport Recife	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
33.08% ( 0.26)	26.72% ( -0.33)	40.19% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 51.37% (

1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.4% (

1.37)

53.6% (

-1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.89% (

1.14)

75.1% (

-1.15)

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58% (

0.86)

30.41% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38% (

1.02)

66.61% (

-1.02)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

0.67)

26.17% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.74% (

0.89)

61.26% (

-0.9)

Score Analysis

Sport Recife 33.08%

Atletico Mineiro 40.19%

Draw 26.72%

Sport Recife	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.08%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.19%