Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 26, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona
0 - 2
Sao Paulo

Vargas (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Calleri (17'), Alisson (64')
Zubeldia (16')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Barcelona SC and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 Talleres
Thursday, April 11 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Atletico GO 0-3 Sao Paulo
Sunday, April 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Barcelona SC	Draw	Sao Paulo
31.91% ( -0.01)	27.64% ( 0.06)	40.45% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.25% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.59% (

-0.21)

57.41% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.78% (

-0.17)

78.22% (

0.17)

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.84% (

-0.11)

33.16% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.24% (

-0.13)

69.76% (

0.12)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18% (

-0.13)

27.82% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59% (

-0.17)

63.41% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Barcelona SC 31.91%

Sao Paulo 40.45%

Draw 27.63%

Barcelona SC	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.91%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.45%