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Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
1 - 0
Cerro Porteno

Fred (24' pen.)
Henrique (26'), Xavier (63'), Teixeira (68'), Ganso (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Espinola (17'), Aquino (26'), Patino (56'), Villasanti (77'), Martinez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fluminense and Cerro Porteno, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawCerro Porteno
55.83%23.98%20.19%
Both teams to score 49.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54%51.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73%73.27%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65%49.35%
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60%40%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.35%76.65%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 55.82%
    Cerro Porteno 20.19%
    Draw 23.97%
FluminenseDrawCerro Porteno
1-0 @ 12.42%
2-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 5.48%
4-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 55.82%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.7%
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 20.19%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Cerro Porteno

Fluminense
86.7%
Draw
10.0%
Cerro Porteno
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2021 11.15pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Cerro Porteno
0-2
Fluminense

Duarte (27')
Nene (49'), Egidio (61')
rhs 2.0
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