Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Academia Puerto Cabello
46.63% ( -0.02)	27.51% ( -0)	25.86% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.41% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.56% (

0.02)

59.43% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19% (

0.02)

79.8% (

-0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47% (

-0)

25.53% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61% (

-0)

60.38% (

-0)

Academia Puerto Cabello Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.97% (

0.03)

39.02% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.25% (

0.03)

75.74% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Nacional 46.63%

Academia Puerto Cabello 25.86%

Draw 27.5%

Nacional	Draw	Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.74% 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.63%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 25.86%