Bragantino are already assured of a spot in the knockout stages, but they will be determined to finish top of the pile in Group C ahead of Estudiantes. Tacuary will look to end their Sudamericana campaign with a shock result on Wednesday, although we believe the Paraguayans will come away from Sao Paulo empty handed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 78.44%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 7.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.55%) and 1-0 (11.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Tacuary win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Tacuary
78.44% ( 1.31)	14.45% ( -0.55)	7.11% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 42.02% (

-1.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.95% (

-0.3)

40.04% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.59% (

-0.31)

62.41% (

0.31)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.71% (

0.23)

8.29% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.07% (

0.56)

28.93% (

-0.56)

Tacuary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.82% (

-2.18)

54.18% (

2.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.61% (

-1.38)

87.38% (

1.38)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 78.43%

Tacuary 7.11%

Draw 14.45%

Bragantino	Draw	Tacuary
2-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.49) 3-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.24) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.19) 6-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 78.43%	1-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.49% Total : 14.45%	0-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.26% Total : 7.11%