Their form domestically has dropped a little of late, but Fogo have reacted well when faced with a setback, while managing to salvage their share of results, and the Guarani defensive issues of late have us leaning towards the Brazilians advancing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 46.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Guarani win it was 1-0 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Guarani	Draw	Botafogo
25.52% ( 0.26)	27.59% ( 0.72)	46.89% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 44.94% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.1% (

-2.33)

59.89% (

2.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.84% (

-1.81)

80.16% (

1.81)

Guarani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.42% (

-1.07)

39.58% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.73% (

-1)

76.27% (

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.39% (

-1.51)

25.61% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.51% (

-2.1)

60.49% (

2.1)

Score Analysis

Guarani 25.52%

Botafogo 46.88%

Draw 27.57%

Guarani	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.42% Total : 25.52%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 13.8% ( 0.6) 0-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.88%