Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Medellin4 - 2Cesar Vallejo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Cesar Vallejo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Always Ready 2-0 Medellin
Friday, April 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, April 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 50.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
Result | ||
Independiente Medellin | Draw | Cesar Vallejo |
50.57% ( 0.11) | 24.88% ( 0.01) | 24.54% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 51.73% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.38% ( -0.13) | 50.61% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.47% ( -0.12) | 72.52% ( 0.12) |
Independiente Medellin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.98% ( -0.01) | 20.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.78% ( -0.02) | 52.21% ( 0.02) |
Cesar Vallejo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% ( -0.17) | 35.32% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% ( -0.18) | 72.07% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Independiente Medellin 50.57%
Cesar Vallejo 24.54%
Draw 24.88%
Independiente Medellin | Draw | Cesar Vallejo |
1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 50.57% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 24.54% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-01 03:27:33
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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