EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 1
Coventry

Bugiel (86'), McLean (90+2')
Lewis (17'), Tilley (28'), Ball (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Godden (17' pen.)
Howley (45+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Coventry City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Coventry
Sunday, August 6 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-4 Coventry City

While Robins will inevitably rotate his squad for this fixture, their current strength in depth means that it should work to their advantage. Wimbledon may threaten for a time, but we feel that the Sky Blues will run out convincing winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Coventry City
25.63% ( 1.32)	25.14% ( 1.1)	49.22% ( -2.42)

Both teams to score 51.99% (

-2.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.22% (

-3.43)

50.78% (

3.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.32% (

-3.11)

72.67% (

3.11)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52% (

-0.73)

34.47% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81% (

-0.79)

71.19% (

0.79)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.35% (

-2.32)

20.65% (

2.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.78% (

-3.79)

53.22% (

3.79)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 25.63%

Coventry City 49.21%

Draw 25.13%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.63%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.55) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.93) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.73) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.36) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.3) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.61% Total : 49.21%