EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
3 - 2
Fleetwood

Chislett (18', 72'), Thomas (58')
Arblaster (20'), Chislett (41'), Grant (68'), Iacovitti (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hayes (5'), Graydon (47')
Rooney (41'), Broom (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Port Vale and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 7-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Fleetwood Town
40.71% ( -0.01)	26.68% ( 0)	32.61% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.39% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.48% (

0.01)

53.53% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.96% (

0.01)

75.04% (

-0)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.14% (

25.86% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.16% (

60.84% (

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.31% (

0.01)

30.69% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.06% (

0.02)

66.94% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 40.71%

Fleetwood Town 32.61%

Draw 26.68%

Port Vale	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.71%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) Other @ 1% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.61%