Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 11.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Almere City |
73.47% ( -0.01) | 15.11% ( 0) | 11.42% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.4% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.07% ( 0.01) | 27.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.34% ( 0.02) | 48.66% ( -0.01) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.46% | 6.54% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.62% ( 0) | 24.38% |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.55% ( 0.02) | 36.45% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.77% ( 0.02) | 73.23% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.13% 3-0 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.55% 4-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.02% 5-0 @ 3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.36% 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 73.47% | 1-1 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 15.11% | 1-2 @ 3.31% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.21% 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 11.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |