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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
28.13% ( -1.57) | 22.89% ( -0.34) | 48.97% ( 1.9) |
Both teams to score 61.72% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.05% ( 0.56) | 38.94% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.74% ( 0.58) | 61.26% ( -0.59) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( -0.76) | 26.37% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% ( -1.02) | 61.52% ( 1.01) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.82% ( 0.92) | 16.17% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.36% ( 1.65) | 45.64% ( -1.65) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.13% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.59% Total : 48.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |