Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 12, 2024 at 7pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
4 - 0
Volendam

Duijvestijn (41'), Lamprou (43', 67'), Parrott (55')
Benita (26'), Goudmijn (90+3')
Parrott (16'), El Yaakoubi (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Buur (15'), Benamar (30'), Karim (77')
Karim (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-1 Excelsior
Saturday, April 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Volendam

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 FC Volendam

We anticipate a hard-fought encounter in what is a true six-pointer in the Eredivisie fight for survival on Friday. With the hosts' squad decimated by injures and the visitors gaining momentum in their unlikely survival bid, we fancy Volendam to make it back-to-back triumphs and move level with their opponents in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	FC Volendam
52.64% ( 0.29)	22.82% ( 0.05)	24.54% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 58.49% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.32% (

-0.56)

41.67% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.92% (

-0.57)

64.08% (

0.57)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.13% (

-0.1)

15.87% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.91% (

-0.19)

45.09% (

0.19)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.53% (

-0.57)

30.47% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.31% (

-0.69)

66.69% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 52.64%

FC Volendam 24.54%

Draw 22.81%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	FC Volendam
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 52.64%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.81%	1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 24.54%