Ararat

2 - 2

Shkendija

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 37.91% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ararat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.