UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
3 - 2
Apollon Limassol

Odgaard (16'), de Wit (62' pen.), Karlsson (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Joosten (19'), Cabral (71')
Cabral (67'), Va (88'), Dabo (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Apollon Limassol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Groningen 1-4 AZ
Saturday, October 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Apollon Limassol

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Apollon Limassol 1-3 Dnipro-1
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Apollon Limassol

AZ Alkmaar are currently firing on all cylinders and will definitely take some stopping if they are to be denied all three points here. We are tipping the home side to cruise to a comfortable victory in what should largely be a one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Apollon Limassol had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.48%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.03%), while for an Apollon Limassol win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Apollon Limassol
62.68% ( -0.1)	24.22% ( 0.04)	13.09% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 35.47% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.83% (

-0.01)

62.16% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.14% (

-0.01)

81.86% (

0.01)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21% (

-0.04)

19.79% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.15% (

-0.07)

51.84% (

0.07)

Apollon Limassol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.22% (

0.1)

55.77% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.66% (

0.06)

88.34% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 62.67%

Apollon Limassol 13.09%

Draw 24.22%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Apollon Limassol
1-0 @ 17.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 14.48% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 62.67%	0-0 @ 11.03% 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.09%