UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 3, 2023 at 5pm UK

Urartu Stadium

Urartu
2 - 3
SSC Farul

(SSC Farul win 6-4 on aggregate)

Antwi (11'), Sabua (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nedelcu (53'), Alibec (57', 90+2')
Nedelcu (28'), Popescu (49'), Mazilu (83'), Alibec (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Urartu and SSC Farul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urartu

Last Game: SSC Farul 3-2 Urartu
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

SSC Farul

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: SSC Farul 1-3 CSM Iasi
Sunday, July 30 at 4.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSC Farul win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Urartu had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SSC Farul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Urartu win was 1-0 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SSC Farul would win this match.

Result
Urartu	Draw	SSC Farul
33.86% ( 0.04)	28.87% ( -0.01)	37.27% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.16% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.56% (

0.04)

61.43% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.68% (

0.03)

81.31% (

-0.03)

Urartu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09% (

0.05)

33.91% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.42% (

0.05)

70.58% (

-0.05)

SSC Farul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.33% (

0.01)

31.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91% (

0.01)

68.08% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Urartu 33.86%

SSC Farul 37.26%

Draw 28.85%

Urartu	Draw	SSC Farul
1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.86%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.85%	0-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.26%