The Bulgarian outfit will be keen to make the most of home advantage, while Basel face a tough trip, but we still see the visitors having too much for their opponents and bringing a lead back for the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
CSKA Sofia	Draw	Basel
36.49% ( 0.09)	25.75% ( 0.05)	37.77% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 55.11% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94% (

-0.22)

49.06% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87% (

-0.2)

71.13% (

0.2)

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88% (

-0.05)

26.12% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.81% (

-0.07)

61.19% (

0.07)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-0.18)

25.41% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-0.25)

60.22% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

CSKA Sofia 36.49%

Basel 37.77%

Draw 25.74%

CSKA Sofia	Draw	Basel
1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 36.49%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.77%