UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 13, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Stade Parc des Sports

Niederkorn
2 - 2
Gjilani

(Progres Niederkorn win 4-2 on aggregate)

De Almeida (11'), Natami (62')
Amofa (18'), Karamoko (47'), Natami (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ramadani (48' pen., 66' pen.)
Rashiti (5'), Ramadani (42'), Bilalli (42'), Kqiku (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Progres Niederkorn and Gjilani.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progres Niederkorn

Last Game: Niederkorn 0-5 Willem II
Wednesday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Europa League

Gjilani

Last Game: FK Liepaja 3-1 Gjilani
Thursday, July 14 at 3pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gjilani win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gjilani win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Progres Niederkorn win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Progres Niederkorn	Draw	Gjilani
34.07% ( 0.03)	25.26% ( 0.02)	40.67% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 56.44% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81% (

-0.08)

47.19% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.58% (

-0.07)

69.42% (

0.07)

Progres Niederkorn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

-0.02)

26.65% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

-0.02)

61.9% (

0.02)

Gjilani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.95% (

-0.06)

23.05% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.13% (

-0.08)

56.87% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Progres Niederkorn 34.07%

Gjilani 40.67%

Draw 25.26%

Progres Niederkorn	Draw	Gjilani
1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.07%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.67%