UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 27, 2023 at 5pm UK

Sahar stadionu

Qabala
2 - 3
Omonia

(Omonia win 7-3 on aggregate)

Allach (4', 62')
Musayev (80'), Allach (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bezus (45+1', 50', 82' pen.)
Coulibaly (24'), Bezus (57'), Kakoullis (87'), Semedo (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Qabala and Omonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qabala

Last Game: Qabala 2-1 Fehervar
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Omonia

Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 Omonia
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qabala win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Omonia had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qabala win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Omonia win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Qabala	Draw	Omonia
40.24% ( -0.11)	27.34% ( 0)	32.42% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 49.28% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.82% (

0.01)

56.18% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.77% (

0.01)

77.23% (

-0.01)

Qabala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.65% (

-0.06)

27.35% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.19% (

-0.07)

62.81% (

0.07)

Omonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83% (

0.08)

32.17% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.34% (

0.09)

68.65% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Qabala 40.23%

Omonia 32.42%

Draw 27.34%

Qabala	Draw	Omonia
1-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.23%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.42%