Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Riga FC would win this match.

Result
Riga FC	Draw	Vikingur Reykjavik
51.62% ( 0.16)	24.15% ( -0.04)	24.23% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 53.7% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.14% (

0.03)

47.86% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.96% (

0.03)

70.04% (

-0.03)

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47% (

0.08)

18.53% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.23% (

0.13)

49.77% (

-0.13)

Vikingur Reykjavik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91% (

-0.09)

34.08% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.23% (

-0.1)

70.77% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Riga FC 51.61%

Vikingur Reykjavik 24.23%

Draw 24.15%

Riga FC	Draw	Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 51.61%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.15%	0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.23%