UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 1, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade de Luxembourg

Swift Hesperange
3 - 2
New Saints

(Swift Hesperange win 4-3 on aggregate)

Stolz (2'), Alioui (62'), Martins (66')
Martins (22'), Couturier (41'), Dupire (70'), Ayongo (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McManus (22' pen., 71' pen.)
Redmond (61')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Swift Hesperange and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swift Hesperange

Last Game: New Saints 1-1 Swift Hesperange
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

The New Saints

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: New Saints 1-1 Swift Hesperange
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swift Hesperange win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swift Hesperange win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swift Hesperange would win this match.

Result
Swift Hesperange	Draw	The New Saints
44.48% ( -0.68)	23.13% ( -0.04)	32.4% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 63.53% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.31% (

0.49)

37.69% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.07% (

0.52)

59.93% (

-0.52)

Swift Hesperange Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.61% (

-0.07)

17.39% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.19% (

-0.13)

47.81% (

0.14)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

0.65)

23.1% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

0.94)

56.95% (

-0.94)

Score Analysis

Swift Hesperange 44.48%

The New Saints 32.4%

Draw 23.12%

Swift Hesperange	Draw	The New Saints
2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.07% Total : 44.48%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.4%