Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nomme Kalju win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Mura had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nomme Kalju win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Mura win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.