Europa League

Europa League | First Qualifying Round

Aug 27, 2020 at 3pm UK

Olimpiskā centra Ventspils Stadionā

Ventspils
2 - 1
Dinamo-Auto

Villela (22'), Kozlov (75' pen.)
Mtchedlishvili Jr. (83'), Ondong (89')
Palavandishvili (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rogac (15')
Masalov (20'), Mihaliov (21'), Paireli (51'), Dijinari (64')

Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Ventspils and Dinamo-Auto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ventspils win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dinamo-Auto had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ventspils win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Dinamo-Auto win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ventspils would win this match.

Result
Ventspils	Draw	Dinamo-Auto
59.7%	21.93%	18.37%

Both teams to score 52.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.49%

45.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.16%

67.84%

Ventspils Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.15%

14.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.83%

43.17%

Dinamo-Auto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.46%

38.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.71%

75.29%

Score Analysis

Ventspils 59.68%

Dinamo-Auto 18.37%

Draw 21.93%

Ventspils	Draw	Dinamo-Auto
1-0 @ 10.91% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 6.31% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.56% Total : 59.68%	1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 5.72% 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.93%	0-1 @ 5.46% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.37%