Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Estadi Nacional

Andorra
0 - 2
Israel

Fernandez (37'), Vales (44'), Pujol (88'), Cervos (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cervos (29' og.), Kinda (81')
Kinda (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Andorra and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Andorra

All competitions

Last Game: Belarus 1-0 Andorra
Saturday, November 18 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	9	10	19
2	Switzerland	9	12	17
3	Israel	9	-2	12
4	Kosovo	9	1	11
5	Belarus	9	-6	9
6	Andorra	9	-15	2

Israel

All competitions

Last Game: Israel 1-2 Romania
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	9	10	19
2	Switzerland	9	12	17
3	Israel	9	-2	12
4	Kosovo	9	1	11
5	Belarus	9	-6	9
6	Andorra	9	-15	2

Andorra have been competitive in a number of matches in this section, and we are again expecting that to be the case in this game. Israel's form ahead of this contest is slightly disappointing, but we are still backing the visitors to pick up all three points in their final match in Group I. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Israel in this match.

Result
Andorra	Draw	Israel
12.49% ( -0.07)	18.94% ( 0.02)	68.57% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.08% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.08% (

-0.27)

43.92% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.69% (

-0.26)

66.31% (

0.26)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.47% (

-0.28)

45.53% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.65% (

-0.22)

81.35% (

0.22)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.26% (

-0.06)

11.74% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.12% (

-0.14)

36.88% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Andorra 12.49%

Israel 68.56%

Draw 18.94%

Andorra	Draw	Israel
1-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.49%	1-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.94%	0-2 @ 12.26% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.76% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 68.56%