Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri

Kosovo
0 - 1
Belarus

Gliha (31'), Hyseni (61'), Laptev (61'), Korenica (78'), Zeqiri (83'), Vojvoda (86'), Kastrati (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Antsilevski (43')
Malkevich (30'), Skavysh (45'), Laptev (87'), Pavlyuchenko (90+1'), Korzun (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Kosovo and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kosovo

All competitions

Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Kosovo
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	9	10	19
2	Switzerland	9	12	17
3	Israel	9	-2	12
4	Kosovo	9	1	11
5	Belarus	9	-6	9
6	Andorra	9	-15	2

Belarus

All competitions

Last Game: Belarus 1-0 Andorra
Saturday, November 18 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	9	10	19
2	Switzerland	9	12	17
3	Israel	9	-2	12
4	Kosovo	9	1	11
5	Belarus	9	-6	9
6	Andorra	9	-15	2

Kosovo can certainly take positives from their overall performance in this section, with two defeats from nine matches a strong record. Belarus actually beat Kosovo 2-1 in the reverse match back in June, but we are backing the home side to claim all three points on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Kosovo	Draw	Belarus
63.36% ( 0.03)	20.83% ( 0.02)	15.8% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.6% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.86% (

-0.17)

45.13% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.52% (

-0.17)

67.48% (

0.16)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.41% (

-0.05)

13.59% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.29% (

-0.09)

40.71% (

0.09)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.56% (

-0.17)

41.44% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.05% (

-0.15)

77.94% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Kosovo 63.35%

Belarus 15.8%

Draw 20.83%

Kosovo	Draw	Belarus
1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 63.35%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.83%	0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 15.8%