Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Rheinpark Stadion

Liechtenstein
0 - 1
Luxembourg

Wieser (7'), Malin (69'), Meier (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodrigues (69')
Holtz (45+3')
Sinani (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Liechtenstein and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liechtenstein

All competitions

Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Portugal
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	9	32	27
2	Slovakia	9	8	19
3	Luxembourg	9	-7	14
4	Iceland	9	3	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	9	-10	9
6	Liechtenstein	9	-26	0

Luxembourg

All competitions

Last Game: Luxembourg 4-1 Bosnia H'vina
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	9	32	27
2	Slovakia	9	8	19
3	Luxembourg	9	-7	14
4	Iceland	9	3	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	9	-10	9
6	Liechtenstein	9	-26	0

We said: Liechtenstein 0-2 Luxembourg

Liechtenstein will have been boosted by their performance against Portugal last time out, but it is very difficult to back them to pick up points in any given match. Luxembourg's qualification campaign has been excellent, and we are expecting them to secure another three points on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 88.14%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 2.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.95%) and 0-4 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (1.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.

Result
Liechtenstein	Draw	Luxembourg
2.87% ( 0.01)	8.98% ( 0.06)	88.14% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 31.51% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.41% (

-0.26)

34.59% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.47% (

-0.3)

56.53% (

0.29)

Liechtenstein Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.23% (

-0.13)

66.77% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.26% (

-0.05)

93.74% (

0.05)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.84% (

-0.06)

5.16% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.55% (

-0.18)

20.45% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Liechtenstein 2.87%

Luxembourg 88.12%

Draw 8.98%

Liechtenstein	Draw	Luxembourg
1-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.48% Total : 2.87%	1-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 8.98%	0-2 @ 15.13% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 14.95% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 11.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.1) 0-5 @ 6.57% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.04% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 4.48% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 3.25% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 0-7 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 88.12%