Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Montenegro
0 - 2
Serbia

Krstovic (26')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vlahovic (78', 90+5')
Zivkovic (58'), Mladenovic (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Montenegro and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Bulgaria 0-1 Montenegro
Friday, March 24 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Serbia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Serbia 2-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	3	2	6
2	Switzerland	3	1	6
3	Cameroon	3	0	4
4	Serbia	3	-3	1

We said: Montenegro 1-1 Serbia

Serbia will be the favourites on Monday, but we are finding it difficult to separate the two teams in this contest. It would not be a shock to see an away or indeed a home victory, but a draw is a decent result for both sides, and we are predicting a stalemate in this Euro 2024 qualification fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Montenegro win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
Montenegro	Draw	Serbia
24.11% ( -0.03)	26.74% ( 0.01)	49.15% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 45.99% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.08% (

-0.04)

57.92% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.37% (

-0.03)

78.63% (

0.03)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.25% (

-0.05)

39.75% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57% (

-0.05)

76.43% (

0.05)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

-0)

23.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.23% (

-0.01)

57.77% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Montenegro 24.11%

Serbia 49.14%

Draw 26.73%

Montenegro	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 24.11%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 13.55% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 49.14%