Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Aviva Stadium

Rep. Ireland
0 - 1
France

Doherty (65'), Molumby (77'), Idah (88'), Egan (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pavard (50')
Pavard (22')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-2 Latvia
Wednesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

France

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: France 4-0 Netherlands
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for France had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	France
38.34% ( -0.13)	28.15% ( 0.44)	33.51% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 47.16% (

-1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.05% (

-1.65)

58.95% (

1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.57% (

-1.3)

79.43% (

1.29)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

-0.88)

29.78% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15% (

-1.08)

65.85% (

1.08)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15% (

-1.05)

32.85% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.59% (

-1.19)

69.41% (

1.19)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 38.33%

France 33.51%

Draw 28.14%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	France
1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.33%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.51%