Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Switzerland
3 - 0
Israel

Vargas (39'), Amdouni (47'), Widmer (52')
Widmer (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dasa (38'), Yehezkel (57')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Switzerland and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Belarus 0-5 Switzerland
Saturday, March 25 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	1	5	3
2	Romania	1	2	3
3	Israel	1	0	1
4	Kosovo	1	0	1
5	Andorra	1	-2	0
6	Belarus	1	-5	0

Israel

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Israel 1-1 Kosovo
Saturday, March 25 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	1	5	3
2	Romania	1	2	3
3	Israel	1	0	1
4	Kosovo	1	0	1
5	Andorra	1	-2	0
6	Belarus	1	-5	0

We said: Switzerland 3-1 Israel

Switzerland certainly will not have things all of their way against Israel in the same manner they did versus Belarus, but we expect Yakin's side to have too much quality for their opponents once again. The Red Crosses are seasoned veterans on the international stage, and they look set to dominate Group I having been provided with a kind draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Israel had a probability of 12.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Israel win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
Switzerland	Draw	Israel
68.7% ( 0.26)	19.28% ( -0.15)	12.01% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 45.5% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.41% (

0.33)

46.58% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.14% (

0.31)

68.85% (

-0.32)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.52% (

0.17)

12.47% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.56% (

0.36)

38.44% (

-0.36)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.99% (

0.01)

48.01% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.76% (

0.01)

83.24% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Switzerland 68.7%

Israel 12.01%

Draw 19.28%

Switzerland	Draw	Israel
2-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.46% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 68.7%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 19.28%	0-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 12.01%