Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 23, 2021 at 5pm UK

Slovakia
0 - 5
Spain

Duda (12'), Skriniar (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Dubravka (30' og.), Laporte (45+3'), Sarabia (56'), Torres (67'), Kucka (71' og.)
Busquets (40'), Alba (60')

Spain boss Luis Enrique admits Slovakia thrashing was a "relief"

Newcastle goalkeeper Martin Dubravka scored an own goal in the 5-0 rout.

Jun 23, 21:03

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.64%), while for a Slovakia win it was 1-0 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Slovakia	Draw	Spain
18.02%	27.62%	54.36%

Both teams to score 36.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.16%

65.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.53%

84.47%

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.99%

51.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.66%

85.34%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.2%

24.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.63%

59.37%

Score Analysis

Slovakia 18.02%

Spain 54.35%

Draw 27.61%

Slovakia	Draw	Spain
1-0 @ 8.52% 2-1 @ 4% 2-0 @ 2.87% Other @ 2.64% Total : 18.02%	0-0 @ 12.64% 1-1 @ 11.87% 2-2 @ 2.79% Other @ 0.31% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 17.63% 0-2 @ 12.29% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-3 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-4 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.95% Total : 54.35%