FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Silverlands

Buxton
2 - 0
Merthyr Town

De Girolamo (5' pen.), Gilchrist (88')
Burke (13'), Clarke (15')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Buxton and Merthyr Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions

Last Game: Southport 1-4 Buxton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 15.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Merthyr Town win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Buxton in this match.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Merthyr Town
64.28% ( -0)	20.25% ( 0.01)	15.47% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.76% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.8% (

-0.06)

43.2% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.4% (

-0.06)

65.6% (

0.07)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.28% (

-0.02)

12.72% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.05% (

-0.04)

38.95% (

0.05)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.31% (

-0.05)

40.7% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72% (

-0.04)

77.28% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Buxton 64.27%

Merthyr Town 15.47%

Draw 20.25%

Buxton	Draw	Merthyr Town
2-0 @ 11% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 64.27%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.25%	0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 15.47%