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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 33
Mar 22, 2022 at 7pm UK
Wetherby Road
Leyton Orient

Harrogate
0 - 3
Leyton Orient


McArdle (3'), Sheron (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Drinan (51', 57'), Sotiriou (73')

Preview: Harrogate Town vs. Leyton Orient - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides battling in the bottom half of the League Two table will square off on Tuesday, as Harrogate Town entertain Leyton Orient.

The teams come into the contest in differing runs of form, with the visitors unbeaten in five games and their hosts without a win in six.


Match preview

Harrogate Town manager Simon Weaver looks dejected after the match on January 9, 2022© Reuters

After a relatively impressive start to their second-ever season in England's fourth tier, Harrogate Town have not fared well since the turn of the year, picking up just three wins from 15 matches.

Following an away victory over Bradford City, which saw them move onto 41 points from 31 outings, Simon Weaver's side have since had to endure a six-game winless run, firstly playing out draws with Barrow and Port Vale.

The Yorkshire outfit then suffered consecutive defeats at the hands of Hartlepool United, Bristol Rovers and Tranmere Rovers before meeting Walsall last time out, and Weaver's men looked set to fall to a fourth straight loss as they trailed 1-0 in injury time.

That was until Calum Kavanagh popped up with a 94th-minute goal to snatch a point for his side, seeing them move just two points behind 15th-placed Bradford City while keeping a game in hand.

With nothing to battle for at either end of the table, Weaver's men can now focus on trying to correct their form in the final 10 games of the season with the aim of a strong mid-table finish.

Swindon Town manager Richie Wellens in November 2019© Reuters

They welcome a Leyton Orient side keen to take their place after an upturn in form, with the visitors having climbed away from the drop zone in recent weeks.

After an 11-game winless run in League Two, culminating in five straight defeats, the O's sat in real danger of relegation, but a change in management in March has triggered a turnaround.

While they were not able to arrest the winless spell initially, the London outfit did stop the rot with consecutive draws against Colchester United and Stevenage, and, after the appointment of Richie Wellens, they were able to earn points from stalemates with Hartlepool United and Forest Green Rovers.

Tuesday's visitors then made it five points from Wellens's first three games at the helm at the weekend, as they posted an elusive victory over Rochdale with Paul Smyth, Ruel Sotiriou and Harry Smith on the scoresheet on after Alex Newby had given their opponents an early lead.

Thanks to their relative improvement in recent weeks, the O's now have an important nine-point cushion between themselves and the drop zone, a particularly significant lead given there are just 10 games left to play, and they may now turn their attention upwards with the chance to move a point behind their opponents with another victory.

Harrogate Town League Two form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Leyton Orient League Two form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W



Team News

Harrogate manager Simon Weaver pictured in November 2019© Reuters

Young Harrogate Town forward Calum Kavanagh will hope to earn a starting spot after coming off the bench to net the last-minute equaliser last time out.

He may battle with Mark Beck to join Jack Muldoon, who has hit 10 league goals this term after scoring 15 times in their debut League Two campaign last time around.

In a strong attacking unit, Luke Armstrong will also be vying to return to the starting XI after he served a suspension last time out, while the defensive line is less likely to change with Warren Burrell, Rory McArdle and Nathan Sheron forming an established back three.

Richie Wellens is only expected to make minimal alterations after overseeing his first win as Leyton Orient boss last time out, with a back four of Adam Thompson, Omar Beckles, Shadrach Ogie and Connor Wood likely going unchanged.

Paul Smyth will continue to operate in the front three while Harry Smith will hope to come in and lead the line after his goal off the bench at the weekend.

Harrogate Town possible starting lineup:
Oxley; Burrell, McCardle, Sheron; Fallowfield, Thomson, Pattison, Richards; Diamond; Muldoon, Beck

Leyton Orient possible starting lineup:
Vigouroux; Thompson, Beckles, Ogie, Wood; Sotiriou, Kyprianou, Coleman; Archibald, Smith, Smyth


SM words green background

We say: Harrogate Town 1-2 Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient have looked rejuvenated under Richie Wellens, and we back them to record a second straight win on Tuesday.

They meet a Harrogate side in a far tougher patch of form, and the visitors should have enough to return to London with all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Harrogate vs Leyton Orient

Harrogate Town
31.5%
Draw
23.3%
Leyton Orient
45.2%
73
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Group A

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