Friendlies 3

Mar 22, 2024 at 10am UK

Stade Municipal de Mahamasina

Madagascar
1 - 0
Burundi

Raveloson (19')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Madagascar and Burundi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions

Last Game: Chad 0-3 Madagascar
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Burundi

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Burundi 0-4 Algeria
Tuesday, January 9 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Madagascar in this match.

Result
Madagascar	Draw	Burundi
49.13% ( -0.03)	26.46% ( 0.02)	24.4% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.01% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.26% (

-0.06)

56.74% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31% (

-0.05)

77.69% (

0.05)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.84% (

-0.04)

23.16% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97% (

-0.06)

57.04% (

0.07)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.17% (

-0.02)

38.83% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.44% (

-0.02)

75.56% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Madagascar 49.13%

Burundi 24.4%

Draw 26.46%

Madagascar	Draw	Burundi
1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.13%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 24.4%