Friendlies 1

Nov 20, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Saint Petersburg Stadium

Russia
8 - 0
Cuba

Oblyakov (22'), Golovin (30'), Miranchuk (34'), Silyanov (55'), Sobolev (66'), Prutsev (68'), Krivtsov (74'), Mostovoy (78')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Paradela (38')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Russia and Cuba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Kenya 2-2 Russia
Monday, October 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Cuba

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Honduras 4-0 Cuba
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 11.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
Russia	Draw	Cuba
69.18% ( -0.11)	19.18% ( 0)	11.63% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 44.64% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.91% (

0.25)

47.09% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.67% (

0.23)

69.33% (

-0.23)

Russia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.51% (

0.04)

12.49% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.53% (

0.08)

38.47% (

-0.09)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.01% (

0.34)

48.99% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.05% (

0.24)

83.94% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Russia 69.17%

Cuba 11.63%

Draw 19.18%

Russia	Draw	Cuba
2-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 69.17%	1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.18%	0-1 @ 4.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.63%