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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
Osasuna

FT

Budimir (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnastic 1-2 Osasuna
Thursday, January 5 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Osasuna

Osasuna are more than capable of making this a tricky match for Athletic, and we are expecting a close game on Monday night. The Basque outfit have been strong at home this season, though, picking up 16 points from eight matches, and we are backing them to secure a vital three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
53.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 25.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 21.17% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.78% (0.053999999999995 0.05)56.21% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (0.044 0.04)77.26% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.060999999999993 0.06)21.14% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (0.097999999999999 0.1)53.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.31% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)41.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.83% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)78.17% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 53.28%
    Osasuna 21.17%
    Draw 25.54%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.28%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.17%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
76.1%
Draw
15.9%
Osasuna
8.0%
138
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Jan 3, 2022 8pm
Osasuna
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Kike (10')
Angel (66'), Arrasate (67'), Torro (76'), Herrera (78'), Avila (90+2')
Avila (90+4')
Sancet (16', 25', 68')
Alvarez (66'), Martinez (90+4')
May 8, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Osasuna
Morcillo (1'), Sancet (62')
Vencedor (50'), Marcelino (71')
Brasanac (12'), Budimir (89')
Torro (26'), Brasanac (90+2')
Oct 24, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Garcia (81' pen.)
Garcia (16'), Arrasate Elustondo (45'), Sanjurjo (54'), Vidal (63')
Arrasate Elustondo (78')

Alvarez (24'), Garcia (26')
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Osasuna

Vencedor (27'), San Jose (33'), Martinez (77'), Aduriz (80')
Sanjurjo (29')
Roncaglia (38'), Sanjurjo (39'), Gallego (48'), Brasanac (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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