La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 1

Sep 12, 2020 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Granada
2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Herrera (49'), Milla (53')
Herrera (10'), Sanchez (45'), Gonalons (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morcillo (15'), Martinez (52'), Lopez (72'), Alvarez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Granada and Athletic Bilbao, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
35.94%	28.19%	35.88%

Both teams to score 47.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.06%

58.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.58%

79.42%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.75%

31.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.4%

67.6%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71%

31.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.36%

67.64%

Score Analysis

Granada 35.93%

Athletic Bilbao 35.88%

Draw 28.18%

Granada	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.93%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.18%	0-1 @ 11.36% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6.6% 1-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.88%