La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 19, 2021 at 1pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Granada
4 - 1
Mallorca

Molina (20', 61', 90+1'), Puertas (90+6')
Milla (19'), Gonalons (22'), Quini (50')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rodriguez (24')
Sedlar (47'), Baba (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Granada and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Mallorca have shared the points in eight of their 17 league matches this season, while Granada have drawn seven of their 16 fixtures. Both managers would likely accept a point if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we are struggling to separate the two sides here, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Granada had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Granada	Draw	Mallorca
26.96%	26.65%	46.39%

Both teams to score 48.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.25%

55.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.12%

76.89%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.95%

36.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.17%

72.84%

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99%

24.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.74%

58.26%

Score Analysis

Granada 26.96%

Mallorca 46.39%

Draw 26.64%

Granada	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.96%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 12.35% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.39%