La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Feb 19, 2022 at 1pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Granada
1 - 4
Villarreal

Milla (61' pen.)
Sanchez (32'), Uzuni (34'), Torrente (80')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Danjuma (35' pen., 39', 81' pen.), Gomez (90+6')
Lo Celso (33'), Estupinan (45+4'), Aurier (60'), Chukwueze (68'), Asenjo (75'), Iborra (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Granada and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Granada 0-2 Villarreal

Given the contrasting form of the two sides, we see Villarreal returning home with all three points on Saturday. The Yellow Submarine have seemingly found their feet recently, built on their solid defensive foundations, and they are expected to get past a Granada side lacking any confidence or momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Villarreal
17.03%	20.68%	62.29%

Both teams to score 53.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.8%

42.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39%

64.6%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.87%

38.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.11%

74.89%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.01%

12.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.5%

39.5%

Score Analysis

Granada 17.03%

Villarreal 62.27%

Draw 20.68%

Granada	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 4.77% 2-1 @ 4.7% 2-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.03%	1-1 @ 9.75% 0-0 @ 4.95% 2-2 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.68%	0-2 @ 10.31% 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-4 @ 3.58% 1-4 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 3.26% 2-4 @ 1.67% 0-5 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.29% Total : 62.27%