La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 20, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

El Sadar

Osasuna
1 - 3
Real Madrid

Budimir (13')
Brasanac (44')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Alaba (12'), Asensio (45'), Vazquez (90+6')
Camavinga (5'), Militao (60'), Nacho (62')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

Last Six:

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Mallorca
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Valencia	38	-5	48
10	Osasuna	38	-14	47
11	Celta Vigo	38	0	46

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League

Next Game: Real Madrid vs. Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	38	49	86
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71

We said: Osasuna 1-3 Real Madrid

Given the impressive form of the hosts, we certainly do not see this being an easy victory for Los Blancos, but we do ultimately expect them to get over the line. Ancelotti's men will be full of confidence following their Champions League progression and Sunday's turnaround, and, with the chance to move within seven points of the title, we back them to take all three points in a hard-fought win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Real Madrid
17.48%	23.33%	59.19%

Both teams to score 46.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.44%

52.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.78%

74.22%

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.25%

43.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.08%

79.92%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53%

17.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.06%

47.94%

Score Analysis

Osasuna 17.48%

Real Madrid 59.18%

Draw 23.33%

Osasuna	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 6.32% 2-1 @ 4.56% 2-0 @ 2.61% 3-1 @ 1.26% 3-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.48%	1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.33%	0-1 @ 13.33% 0-2 @ 11.63% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-3 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 5.59% 0-4 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-5 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.5% Total : 59.18%