La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Jan 22, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
2 - 2
Celta Vigo

Papu (71'), Torres (74')
Gudelj (83')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Cervi (37'), Aspas (40')
Cervi (23'), Suarez (31'), Tapia (66'), Murillo (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Celta Vigo

This is a really tough test for Sevilla, particularly considering Celta's away form during the 2021-22 campaign. Lopetegui's side need to win to stay in touch with Real Madrid, though, and we are backing the home team to secure all three points courtesy of a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Celta Vigo
44.58%	27.22%	28.2%

Both teams to score 47.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.8%

57.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.94%

78.05%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46%

25.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61%

60.39%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.16%

35.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.38%

72.61%

Score Analysis

Sevilla 44.58%

Celta Vigo 28.2%

Draw 27.21%

Sevilla	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.22% Total : 44.58%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 1.98% Total : 28.2%