La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 14

Nov 9, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
1 - 2
Real Sociedad

Mir (44')
Navas (34'), Torres (40')
Rakitic (28'), Kouassi (34')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sorloth (20'), Mendez (36')
Merino (31'), Pacheco (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, November 6 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Valencia
Sunday, November 6 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Real Sociedad

While Sevilla will be content to have avoided defeat at their city rivals last time out, their winless record at home is becoming increasingly alarming for a side usually so strong in front of their own fans. With the hosts desperate for that elusive first win, and the visitors also looking to put an end to a recent mini-slump, we are expecting a competitive game with goals at both ends, but one that will ultimately end level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Real Sociedad
32.23% ( -0.34)	25.72% ( -0.3)	42.05% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 54.34% (

0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.34% (

1.18)

49.66% (

-1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.33% (

1.05)

71.67% (

-1.05)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99% (

0.37)

29.01% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.09% (

0.45)

64.91% (

-0.45)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55% (

0.84)

23.45% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.54% (

1.21)

57.45% (

-1.2)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 32.23%

Real Sociedad 42.05%

Draw 25.71%

Sevilla	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.23%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.05%