League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 14

May 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Brandywell Stadium

Derry
1 - 1
Shelbourne

McMullan (56')
McMullan (24'), Patching (32'), O'Reilly (63'), Kelly (75'), Boyce (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Boyd (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Shelbourne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions

Last Game: Galway United 0-0 Derry
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Shelbourne

All competitions

Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Shelbourne
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 46.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Shelbourne
46.99% ( -0.05)	26.88% ( 0.01)	26.13% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 47.34% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.93% (

-0.02)

57.06% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.05% (

-0.02)

77.95% (

0.01)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

-0.03)

24.3% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33% (

-0.05)

58.67% (

0.04)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53% (

0.02)

37.47% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75% (

0.02)

74.25% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Derry City 46.99%

Shelbourne 26.13%

Draw 26.87%

Derry City	Draw	Shelbourne
1-0 @ 12.88% 2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 46.99%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 26.13%