League Two

League Two | Gameweek 13

Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Bradford

Davison (17'), Lewis (58'), Ogundere (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Osadebe (62')
Platt (7'), Smallwood (30')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bradford City

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Bradford City

AFC Wimbledon have not been particularly impressive at home this season, with their only victory coming against a struggling Tranmere side. While Bradford have not been at their best away from home, they are starting to gather momentum, winning their last two games on the spin in all competitions, so we expect Saturday's game to finish as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bradford City in this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Bradford City
36.21% ( 0.18)	27.26% ( 0.03)	36.52% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 50.08% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.59% (

-0.1)

55.41% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.39% (

-0.08)

76.61% (

0.08)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

0.07)

29.32% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.7% (

0.08)

65.3% (

-0.08)

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86% (

-0.17)

29.13% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93% (

-0.21)

65.06% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 36.21%

Bradford City 36.52%

Draw 27.26%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Bradford City
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.21%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.52%